Smoke Forecast for Umpqua North/High Cascades Complex -- Aug. 28, 2017

Smoke Outlook:  Umpqua North/High Cascades Complex                       

Issued for: Monday 28, 2017 

Air Resource Advisor: Jen Croft, Aaron Wilkerson (T)

Fire Activity:  High Cascades is reported at 16,344 acres. Umpqua North is reported at 14,817. All uncontained fires made short uphill runs with periods of increased activity and very visible smoke plumes. Active fire behavior with long range spotting was present on the Blanket and Broken Lookout fire. Fire activity from Chetco Bar and Eclipse complex contributed significantly to the regional haze in the Umpqua North and High Cascades forecast area. Smoke:  ESE winds will provide relief in the early morning to communities on the East side of the Cascades.  By midafternoon shifting winds will return to the forecast area out of the WSW moving smoke back over to the communities of Diamond Lake, Crater and Prospect. This wind shift may bring some relief to Roseburg, Glide and Medford, however, nighttime settling will likely bring a return of smoky conditions. Tourists at Crater Lake National Park can expect to see and smell smoke. Visitors should check for road closures and other announcements ahead of time.  Visitors can check https://www.nps.gov/crla/planyourvisit/conditions.htm for updates.
Air Quality Outlook
Sites with air quality monitors
Site	Monday 08/28		Tuesday 08/29		Wednesday 08/30	Notes for TODAY’s forecast
Roseburg	USG		Moderate		Moderate	AM Smoke with potential for clearing  in the early afternoon, heavy smoke in the evening
Glide	Unhealthy		USG		USG	AM Smoke with potential for clearing  in the early afternoon, heavy smoke in the evening
Toketee**	Very Unhealthy		Unhealthy		Unhealthy	Limited relief all day
Diamond Lake**	USG		USG	USG		Early morning relief, return of heavy smoke in late PM
Prospect	Very Unhealthy		Unhealthy		Unhealthy	Heavy smoke with pockets of clearing throughout the day due to shifting wind.
Shady Cove	Unhealthy		Unhealthy		Unhealthy	AM Smoke with potential for clearing  in the early afternoon, heavy smoke in the evening
Medford	Unhealthy		USG		USG	AM Smoke with potential for clearing  in the early afternoon, heavy smoke in the evening
Crater Lake NP (visitor center)	USG		USG		USG	Early morning relief, return of moderate smoke in late PM
Chiloquin	USG		USG		USG	Early morning relief, return of moderate smoke in late PM
Klamath	USG		USG		USG	Early morning relief, return of moderate smoke in late PM
Disclaimer: Conditions may change quickly. These predictions are based on anticipated weather and fire activity. AQI estimates for sites do not represent a full 24-hour time period.  Instead they reflect a period of time within the day where smoke impacts would be greatest.
AQI Index		Actions to Protect Yourself
Good		None
Moderate		Unusually sensitive people should consider reducing prolonged or heavy outdoor exertion.
Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups*- USG		People with heart or lung disease, children and older adults should reduce prolonged or heavy outdoor exertion.  Everyone else should limit prolonged or heavy exertion.
Unhealthy		The following groups should avoid all physical outdoor activity: People with heart or lung disease, children and older adults.  Everyone else should avoid prolonged or heavy exertion.
LimitedVery Unhealthy		Everyone should avoid any outdoor exertion; people with respiratory or heart disease, the elderly and children should remain indoors.
Hazardous		The following groups should remain indoors and keep activity levels low: People with heart or lung disease; children and older adults. Everyone else should avoid prolonged or heavy exertion

*Sensitive Groups include people with heart or lung disease, children, pregnant women and older adults

Oregon Smoke Blog: http://oregonsmoke.blogspot.com/ Oregon Dept of Environmental Quality http://www.deq.state.or.us/aqi/ Blanket Creek Fire Information https://inciweb.nwcg.gov/incident/5431/ Umpqua North Complex Fire Information https://inciweb.nwcg.gov/incident/5505/#