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Smoke Forecast for Blanket Creek Fire -- Aug. 1, 2017

Smoke Outlook:  Rogue River – Siskiyou National Forest           
Issued for: Tuesday, August 1, 2017 
Air Resource Advisor: Carolyn Kelly (ckelly@quinault.org)


Smoke
Blanket Creek Fire - Smoke from all area fires is affecting regional haze. Additional smoke is expected to drift south but will mainly remain local.  The morning inversion over the fire will break up around 10:00 am.  Air quality in communities around the fires may see ‘moderate’ smoke levels at times; especially Ashland and Medford. Prospect may also have times of greater impact.

Spruce Lake Fire - Tourists at Crater Lake National Park will be able to view and smell smoke in the park. Smoke is expected to remain local.

Fire
Blanket Creek Fire – Very hot, dry, and unstable weather conditions will increase the potential for significant fire growth today. Fire activity continues to increase, with approximately 310 of acres growth yesterday, leaving the fire at roughly 1,241 acres.  Fire activity today and tomorrow is expected to increase as a result of increased temperatures, drier fuels, and low relative humidity.  A Red Flag Warning is in effect for the area around the fire. An Excessive Heat Warning is also in effect through Friday. These conditions may lead to increased smoke output around the fire vicinity.

Spruce Lake Fire – Under the same conditions as the Blanket Creek Fire, the Spruce Lake Fire is currently at 194 acres. More fire activity is expected this week as a result of unstable atmospheric conditions. 

Other: Combined smoke report for Blanket Creek and Spruce Lake fires due to regional smoke impacts from both; additional monitors                                  will be added this week
Air Quality Outlook
Sites with air quality monitors
Site
Yesterday
Today
Tomorrow
Notes for today’s forecast
Shady Cove
Good
Good
Good
Good conditions throughout the day
Medford
Good
Good
Good
Possible periods of moderate throughout the day
Ashland
Good
Good
Good
Possible periods of moderate throughout the day
Grants Pass
Good
Good
Good
Good conditions throughout the day
Disclaimer: Conditions may change quickly. These predictions are based on anticipated weather and fire activity. AQI estimates for sites do not represent a full 24-hour time period.  Instead they reflect a period of time within the day where smoke impacts would be greatest.
AQI Index
Actions to Protect Yourself
Good
None

Moderate
Unusually sensitive people should consider reducing prolonged or heavy outdoor exertion.
Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups*- USG
People with heart or lung disease, children and older adults should reduce prolonged or heavy outdoor exertion.  Everyone else should limit prolonged or heavy exertion.
Unhealthy           
The following groups should avoid all physical outdoor activity: People with heart or lung disease, children and older adults.  Everyone else should avoid prolonged or heavy exertion.
Very Unhealthy

Everyone should avoid any outdoor exertion; people with respiratory or heart disease, the elderly and children should remain indoors.
Hazardous
The following groups should remain indoors and keep activity levels low: People with heart or lung disease; children and older adults. Everyone else should avoid prolonged or heavy exertion